Match Info

NPL NSW U20 - Round 23

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Manly United U20		Sutherland Sharks U20

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.60	3.30
	1.82	3.75	3.35
	1.79	3.69	3.54
	1.83	3.89	3.54
	1.76	3.65	3.5
	1.85	4.22	3.29
	2.1	3.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)	3.79 ↑ (3.7)	3.32 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manly United U20
48.8%

Draw
23.9%

Sutherland Sharks U20
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

24.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manly United U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manly United U20's performance.

Sutherland Sharks U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sutherland Sharks U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly United U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manly United U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutherland Sharks U20 than the current prediction. (+5%)

Manly United U20 - Sutherland Sharks U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Manly Utd U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sutherland U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Manly Utd U20 could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manly United U20
Australian NPL NSW U20
04.07.26	Manly United U20 - SD Raiders U20	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Western Sydney Wanderers U20 - Manly United U20	2:8 ✺
20.06.26	Manly United U20 - St George Saints U20	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Manly United U20 - Sydney United U20	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	APIA Leichhardt U20 - Manly United U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTL
- Sutherland Sharks U20
Australian NPL NSW U20
04.07.26	Sutherland Sharks U20 - APIA Leichhardt U20	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	UNSW U20 - Sutherland Sharks U20	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sutherland Sharks U20 - Blacktown City U20	6:1 ✺
06.06.26	St George Saints U20 - Sutherland Sharks U20	1:4 ✺
31.05.26	Sydney United U20 - Sutherland Sharks U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWL

Manly United U20 - Sutherland Sharks U20

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Manly United U20 - Sutherland Sharks U20 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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