Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)


	Maracanã		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.72	3.15
	2.42	2.74	3.21
	2.48	2.61	3.33
	2.4	2.5	3.1
	2.47	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)	2.67 ↓ (2.8)	3.17 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracanã
37.5%

Draw
33.9%

Sampaio Corrêa
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maracanã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-3%)

Maracanã - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 0, Testinha ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, Peu C. ⚽,

Preview

Maracanã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sampaio Corrêa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maracanã won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Maracanã won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Iguatu - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Maracanã - Parnahyba	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Maracanã - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	IAPE - Maracanã	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie D
06.05.26	Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Parnahyba - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Iguatu - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã	0:0
14.06.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã	2:0
25.05.25	Maracanã - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2

Maracanã - Sampaio Corrêa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide