Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Maracena		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.63
	4.94	3.15	1.7
	4.82	3.45	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↓ (4.81)	3.33 ↓ (3.54)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracena
18.9%

Draw
27%

Almeria B
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

25.8%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

24.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Maracena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Almeria B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almeria B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Almeria B is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maracena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Maracena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Maracena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.02.24	Torre Del Mar - Maracena	4:0 ✺
11.02.24	Maracena - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Atlético Melilla - Maracena	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Maracena - Málaga Juniors	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Real Jaén - Maracena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTTL
- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.02.24	Almeria B - El Ejido	5:0 ✺
11.02.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Almeria B - Torredonjimeno	4:0 ✺
28.01.24	CP Almería - Almeria B	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Almeria B - Malaga B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.10.23	Almeria B - Maracena	2:0
08.01.23	Almeria B - Maracena	2:1
24.08.19	Maracena - Almeria B	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.03.18	Maracena - Almeria B	1:1
01.11.17	Almeria B - Maracena	2:0

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