Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 28

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Maracena		Torreperogil

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.41	2.4	3.68
	2.24	3.24	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.85)	2.84 ↓ (3.26)	3.23 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracena
39.6%

Draw
32.1%

Torreperogil
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maracena's form might have worsened.

Torreperogil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracena than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maracena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreperogil than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torreperogil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maracena - Torreperogil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Maracena is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torreperogil is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Maracena is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maracena won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Maracena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Maracena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.03.23	Torredonjimeno - Maracena	3:0 ✺
19.03.23	Maracena - Huétor Vega	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Porcuna - Maracena	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Maracena - Málaga Juniors	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Maracena - El Palo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTWWW
- CD Torreperogil
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.03.23	Torreperogil - El Palo	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Torre Del Mar - Torreperogil	4:1 ✺
12.03.23	Torreperogil - Motril	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Marbella - Torreperogil	4:0 ✺
26.02.23	Torreperogil - Real Jaén	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.12.22	Torreperogil - Maracena	0:0
20.12.20	Maracena - Torreperogil	1:2
02.02.20	Maracena - Torreperogil	1:1
15.09.19	Torreperogil - Maracena	1:0

Maracena - Torreperogil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide