Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Marbellí		Arenas Armilla

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.88	3
	1.07	1.00	1.00	Watch
	2.34	2.88	3.1
	2.74	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.68)	2.44 ↓ (3.02)	2.4 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbellí
36.4%

Draw
31.6%

Arenas Armilla
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Marbellí - Arenas Armilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Marbellí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arenas Armilla is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arenas Armilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arenas Armilla has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbellí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.10.25	Churriana de la Vega - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Marbellí - Torreperogil	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético Porcuna - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Marbellí - Torre Del Mar	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	El Palo - Marbellí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT
- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Motril	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Arenas Armilla - Torreperogil	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Porcuna - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Arenas Armilla - Torre Del Mar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.12.24	Arenas Armilla - Marbellí	1:0

Marbellí - Arenas Armilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide