Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:30	Footballclub


	Marbellí		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.50	5.50
	1.46	3.60	5.40
	1.57	3.71	5.35
	1.54	3.81	5.7	Watch
	1.55	3.65	5.25
	1.51	3.62	5.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	3.65 ↑ (3.6)	5.51 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbellí
59%

Draw
24.7%

Atlético Porcuna
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Playoffs and 11th).

Marbellí has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Marbellí may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Marbellí for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Marbellí in today's match, at odds of 1.49.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Marbellí has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Marbellí against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marbelli	8	4	2	2	8:7	1	14
11	Atletico de Porcuna	8	3	2	3	9:15	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.10.26	UD San Pedro - Marbellí	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Málaga Juniors - Marbellí	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Marbellí - Torre Del Mar	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Huétor Vega - Marbellí	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Marbellí - Torredonjimeno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.10.26	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Almeria B - Atlético Porcuna	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Porcuna - Granada B	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Malaga B - Atlético Porcuna	6:1 ✺
10.05.26	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.02.26	Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna	1:0
05.10.25	Atlético Porcuna - Marbellí	1:0

Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna