Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 5Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Marchamalo |
|
La Solana |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.05 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.1 |
4.12 |
|
 |
1.31 |
4.74 |
9.32 |
Watch |
 |
1.94 |
3.02 |
3.96 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.05 |
3.9 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (2.2) |
3.33 ↑ (3.25) |
4.82 ↑ (2.98) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marchamalo 52% | Draw 28.4% | La Solana 19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marchamalo's performance.La Solana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Solana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marchamalo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Solana than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Solana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Marchamalo - La Solana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Braun C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 1, Alves R. ⚽,
Preview
Recent performances by Marchamalo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).La Solana is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Marchamalo will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).Including home match between the teams, Marchamalo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;