The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marchamalo 35.4%
Draw 32.7%
Pulpileño 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
31.4%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
32.9%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pulpileño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marchamalo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pulpileño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marchamalo - Pulpileño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out)).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchamalo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.