Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga East - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Aulandstadion Mannsdorf (Mannsdorf an der Donau)


	Marchfeld Mannsdorf		Mauerwerk

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.1	4.75
	1.66	4	4.1
	1.54	4.35	4.82
	1.55	4.29	4.8	Watch
	1.5	4.15	5.22
	1.66	4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.97)	4.15 ↑ (3.49)	4.63 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchfeld Mannsdorf
58.2%

Draw
22%

Mauerwerk
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

25%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchfeld Mannsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marchfeld Mannsdorf's performance.

Mauerwerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mauerwerk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchfeld Mannsdorf than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marchfeld Mannsdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mauerwerk than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mauerwerk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Mauerwerk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Meister N. (Pen),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Meister N. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Meister N. ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, Budimir B. ⚽,
87', 5 - 0, Oroshi D. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marchfeld Mannsdorf won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mauerwerk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marchfeld Mannsdorf will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Marchfeld Mannsdorf won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:19 (average 1.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Marchfeld Mannsdorf won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Marchfeld Mannsdorf
Austrian Regionalliga East
01.10.24	Leobendorf - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Sportunion Mauer - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	1:0 ✺
24.09.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Austria Wien II	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - TWL Elektra	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Horn	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWT
- FC Mauerwerk
Austrian Regionalliga East
27.09.24	Mauerwerk - Neusiedl am See	0:3 ✺
24.09.24	Mauerwerk - Wiener	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Donaufeld Wien - Mauerwerk	2:2 ✺
06.09.24	Gloggnitz - Mauerwerk	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Mauerwerk - Wiener Viktoria	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
26.04.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Mauerwerk	1:3
30.09.23	Mauerwerk - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	2:4
31.03.23	Mauerwerk - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	5:1
09.09.22	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Mauerwerk	1:2
17.04.22	Mauerwerk - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	0:0
03.09.21	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Mauerwerk	4:4
27.09.19	Mauerwerk - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	0:4

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