Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 10

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Maria da Fonte		São Martinho

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Maria da Fonte
32.5%

Draw
30.6%

São Martinho
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

32%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Maria da Fonte is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São Martinho is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São Martinho will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Vila Meã - Maria da Fonte	4:0 ✺
20.11.22	Maria da Fonte - Vianense	2:3 ✺
13.11.22	Tirsense - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Maria da Fonte - Vilar de Perdizes	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Merelinense - Maria da Fonte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWT
- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	São Martinho - Brito	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	São Martinho - Desportivo Monção	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Vila Meã - São Martinho	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	São Martinho - Vianense	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Tirsense - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.20	São Martinho - Maria da Fonte	0:0
13.10.19	Maria da Fonte - São Martinho	0:2
24.02.19	São Martinho - Maria da Fonte	2:1

Maria da Fonte - São Martinho