Match Info

Prva liga - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor)

Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maribor		Koper

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.50	3.70
	1.88	3.55	3.65	Watch
	1.92	3.68	4.04
	1.85	3.83	3.81	Watch
	1.89	3.5	4
	1.91	3.72	3.61	Watch
	1.86	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.07)	3.61 ↓ (3.79)	3.77 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
49.5%

Draw
25.8%

Koper
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

24.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Koper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koper might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koper than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Maribor - Koper Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Koper will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maribor: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jug A. (G) 25. Blazic M. 3. Bumbic C. 7. Cipot T. 8. Goncalves C. 23. Karnicnik Z. 6. Mbondo B. 17. Mlakar J. 10. Repas Z. 70. Tshipamba I. 4. Viher N.	1. Bas L. (G) 18. Agyemang G. 25. Bangaly D. 29. Gucek L. 3. Hartherz F. 9. Irabor B. 99. Manseri K. 45. Matondo I. 10. Rimac L. 47. Roncal A. 6. Tomek F.
Substitutes
43. Handanovic T. (G) 5. Jevsenak Z. 34. Kikec T. 16. Kokol L. 18. Ljubicic E. 38. Osterc N. 44. Rekik O. 14. Seri J. 50. Vidmar L. 29. Vizinger D. 79. Zahovic L.	26. Adrovic B. 67. El Manssouri O. 28. Jovanovic L. (G) 16. Kerma B. P. 12. Kroselj T. (G) 8. Ndiaye B. 27. Ruedl A. 14. Strcaj J. 4. Stulac L. 86. Surdanovic S. 17. Sutalo A.
Coaches
Milanic D.	Zeljkovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Repas Z. ⚽, Bumbic C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tomek F. ↓, El Manssouri O. ↑,
46', Matondo I. ↓, Ruedl A. ↑,
58', Bangaly D. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Tshipamba I. ⚽, Repas Z. (A),
68', Rimac L. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
71', Goncalves C. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
71', Mlakar J. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
73', Irabor B. ↓, Adrovic B. ↑,
73', Bangaly D. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
78', Repas Z. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
86', Viher N. ↓, Seri J. ↑,
86', Karnicnik Z. ↓, Rekik O. ↑,
90+2', Stulac L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maribor won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Koper may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maribor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maribor won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maribor won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Maribor: 44.73% Koper: 8.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19:8	11	20
2	Koper	10	5	3	2	11:8	3	18

Last Results with these Odds

Koper - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.08.26	Celje - Maribor	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Maribor - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Maribor - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Maribor	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTTT
- FC Koper
Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Koper	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Koper - NSÍ Runavík	1:4 penalties ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
26.07.26	Koper - Radomlje	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	NSÍ Runavík - Koper	0:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.07.26	Nafta - Koper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
14.04.26	Koper - Maribor	3:1
08.02.26	Maribor - Koper	2:0
19.10.25	Koper - Maribor	1:0
03.08.25	Maribor - Koper	2:2
18.05.25	Koper - Maribor	1:1
16.03.25	Maribor - Koper	4:2
30.11.24	Koper - Maribor	1:1

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