Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Maricá		Piracicaba

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.86	3.1	2
	4.06	2.79	2.07	Watch
	3.8	2.75	2
	3.92	2.91	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (3.89)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	2 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maricá
23.6%

Draw
31.2%

Piracicaba
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

31.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

30.1%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Maricá - Piracicaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, David Ribeiro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Isael ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Kuhn G. ⚽,

Preview

Maricá has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Piracicaba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Piracicaba will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maricá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Piracicaba - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.05.26	Maricá - São Gonçalo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.05.26	Maricá - EC Noroeste	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
06.05.26	Maricá - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	EC Noroeste - Maricá	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Piracicaba - Maricá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Serie D
09.05.26	Piracicaba - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Piracicaba - Maricá	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Piracicaba - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.04.26	Água Santa - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Piracicaba - Maricá	1:0

Maricá - Piracicaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide