Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mariglianese		Gravina

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.31	3	2.75
	2.23	3.1	2.83
	2.38	2.9	2.9
	2.33	3.18	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.99)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	2.79 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariglianese
38.3%

Draw
29.6%

Gravina
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

27.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariglianese's form might have worsened.

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gravina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+21.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariglianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gravina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mariglianese - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 11).

Recent matches Mariglianese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gravina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Nardo - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Mariglianese - Casarano	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Bisceglie - Mariglianese	1:0 ✺
20.10.21	Mariglianese - Nola	5:2 ✺
17.10.21	Altamura - Mariglianese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWT
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Gravina - Bitonto	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Lavello - Gravina	3:3 ✺
24.10.21	Gravina - Virtus Matino	0:2 ✺
20.10.21	Casertana - Gravina	5:1 ✺
17.10.21	Gravina - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLLL

Mariglianese - Gravina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Mariglianese - Gravina Predictions

Preview

Form

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