Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Marineros		Jicaral

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.66	2.73	2.15
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	3.29	3.54	1.96
	2.95	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.49)	3.25 ↓ (3.64)	2.16 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marineros
29.7%

Draw
28%

Jicaral
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

24.9%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

24.6%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marineros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marineros's form might have worsened.

Jicaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marineros than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marineros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jicaral than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Marineros is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jicaral in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marineros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marineros have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marineros won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Marineros won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marineros de Puntarenas
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
02.02.24	Jacó - Marineros	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Marineros - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0 ✺
25.01.24	Carmelita - Marineros	2:3 ✺
21.01.24	Quepos - Marineros	3:2 ✺
12.01.24	Cofutpa - Marineros	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLW
- ADR Jicaral
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
11.02.24	Jicaral - Sarchi	4:2 ✺
07.02.24	Jicaral - Cofutpa	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	Jacó - Jicaral	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Jicaral - Santa Cruz PFA	2:0 ✺
12.01.24	Carmelita - Jicaral	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
29.10.23	Marineros - Jicaral	3:1
03.09.23	Jicaral - Marineros	1:1

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