Match Info

Premier League

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Marines		Gorilla

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.78	3.4
	1.27	4.89	10.97	Watch
	2.24	2.85	3.3
	2.2	2.71	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.07)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)	5.29 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marines
50.8%

Draw
30.3%

Gorilla
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

32.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marines's performance.

Gorilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gorilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marines than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Marines - Gorilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Marines will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marines won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marines won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marines FC
Rwanda Premier League
08.11.25	Muhanga - Marines	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Marines - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Marines - Police	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Kigali - Marines	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Marines - Rutsiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
08.11.25	Gorilla - Amagaju	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Gorilla - Bugesera	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Etincelles - Gorilla	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Gorilla - Gicumbi	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Kigali - Gorilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
19.04.25	Marines - Gorilla	2:1
22.09.24	Gorilla - Marines	1:0
10.03.24	Marines - Gorilla	2:1
27.10.23	Gorilla - Marines	2:3
03.03.23	Gorilla - Marines	2:1
10.12.22	Marines - Gorilla	0:0
16.02.22	Marines - Gorilla	1:2

Marines - Gorilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide