Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 6

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Maringá		Rio Branco PR

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.5
	1.37	4.1	7.25
				Watch
	1.36	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	4.07 ↓ (4.09)	7.58 ↑ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
66%

Draw
22.1%

Rio Branco PR
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

22.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.4%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rio Branco PR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco PR than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Maringá - Rio Branco PR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Joao Gabriel (G) 3. Carvalho R. 7. Edison Negueba 10. Leo Ceara 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller 15. Parrudo 11. Robertinho 8. Rodrigo Santos 13. Tito 18. Ze Vitor	1. Filipe Santos (G) 6. Biro Biro 11. Bryam 9. Caio Vieira 8. Elvis 4. Fernando Brito 5. Ferreira (C) 25. Gabriel Almeida 15. Gabriel Mello 3. Gabriel Vidal 2. Guilherme Radeche
Substitutes
20. Bruno Cheron 40. Caio 30. Danielzinho 38. de Oliveira L. G. 26. Gledson 6. Joao Felix 19. Julio Rodrigues 28. Lucas Bonifacio 39. Luiz Neto 9. Matheus Moraes 42. Rafael William (G) 21. Vitinho	18. Andrade V. 10. Caio Cunha 99. Cristaldo J. E. 20. Dhiordan 22. Igor Bambam 17. Jefferson Recife 19. Leozinho 12. Lucas Bergantin (G) 21. Luis Saldias 13. Regis 16. Tiago Brito 7. Ze Andrade

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Carvalho R. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽,
16', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Elvis ↓, Caio Cunha ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Maranhao ⚽,
52', Gabriel Almeida 🟨,
53', Parrudo ↓, Vitinho ↑,
53', Rodrigo Santos ↓, de Oliveira L. G. ↑,
56', Gabriel Mello ↓, Ze Andrade ↑,
56', Biro Biro ↓, Jefferson Recife ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Robertinho ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽,
67', Leo Ceara ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
67', Maranhao ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
70', Gabriel Almeida ↓, Regis ↑,
73', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Maringá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maringá is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maringá won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Maringá won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.01.25	Andraus - Maringá	1:3 ✺
22.01.25	Maringá - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Londrina - Maringá	2:3 ✺
15.01.25	Maringá - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Maringá - São-Joseense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW
- Rio Branco PR
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Andraus	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Rio Branco PR	5:1 ✺
11.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Azuriz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
17.01.23	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	2:0
06.02.22	Rio Branco PR - Maringá	0:3
28.03.21	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	0:0
20.01.19	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	1:1
10.02.18	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	1:1

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