Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Marinhense		Oleiros

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Marinhense
50.6%

Draw
28.1%

Oleiros
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.8%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

19.5%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marinhense's performance.

Oleiros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marinhense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleiros than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleiros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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The game of competitors is shaky now.

Marinhense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marinhense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.02.22	Peniche - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Marinhense - Praiense	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	Marinhense - Idanhense	2:2 ✺
09.01.22	Sertanense - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTTL
- ARC Oleiros
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.02.22	Oleiros - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
29.01.22	SB Castelo Branco - Oleiros	0:1 ✺
22.01.22	Condeixa - Oleiros	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Oleiros - Peniche	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	Oleiros - Vitória de Sernache	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLTT

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Oleiros - Marinhense	0:1
07.02.21	Marinhense - Oleiros	0:1
16.02.20	Marinhense - Oleiros	1:2
12.11.17	Marinhense - Oleiros	1:0

Marinhense - Oleiros