Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Marino de Luanco		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.35	2.8	3.4
	2.35	2.79	3.55
	2.3	2.71	3.52	Watch
	2.27	2.88	3.39
	2.35	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.97)	2.79 ↓ (3)	3.41 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
40%

Draw
33%

Compostela
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

29%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Marino de Luanco - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 2, Landeira G. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marino de Luanco won 2.

Recent matches Marino de Luanco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Compostela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marino de Luanco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marino de Luanco will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Marino de Luanco won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.24	Valladolid B - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Marino de Luanco - Laredo	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Caudal Deportivo - Marino de Luanco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWWL
- SD Compostela
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Vimenor - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Compostela - Langreo	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Compostela	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Compostela - Pontevedra	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Numancia - Compostela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	0:2
03.09.23	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	0:0
14.05.23	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	1:1
15.01.23	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	1:1
06.03.22	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	1:0
17.10.21	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	1:1
02.05.21	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	0:1

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