Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Maritsa Plovdiv		CSKA 1948 Sofia II

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.34
	1.71	3.28	4.64
	1.71	3.38	4.55	Watch
	1.63	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.39)	3.47 ↑ (3.13)	4.61 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritsa Plovdiv
53.9%

Draw
26.3%

CSKA 1948 Sofia II
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritsa Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maritsa Plovdiv's performance.

CSKA 1948 Sofia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA 1948 Sofia II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maritsa Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia II than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA 1948 Sofia II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia II Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Maritsa Plovdiv will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). CSKA 1948 II will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maritsa Plovdiv: 80.6% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nachev P. (G) 5. Avramov D. 17. Domovchiyski V. (C) 23. James S. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. 77. Popov S. 7. Shterev S. 13. Tanchev M. 29. Tasholov A. 9. Trifonov G.	57. Nistorov S. (G) 46. Atanasov M. (C) 43. Boychev K. 47. Bozhinov R. 73. Dobrev S. 41. Grozdanov K. 84. Ivanov T. 31. Tonev M. 70. Tsekov N. 69. Vasilev V. 66. Zhelyazkov N.
Substitutes
15. Dimitrov H. 30. Hristev N. 14. Makaveev E. 86. Nikolov I. (G) 4. Pushkarov M. 70. Shehov B. 19. Sirakov S. 2. Valkov G. 22. Yordanov I.	40. Acheampong C. 88. Ademov A. 45. Antonov P. 48. Bakalov A. 55. Figueireiro T. 33. Marinov P. (G) 80. Rusinov I. 49. Strinski K. 44. Yoskov V.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Maritsa Plovdiv is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSKA 1948 II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSKA 1948 II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maritsa Plovdiv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Maritsa Plovdiv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.11.23	Spartak Pleven - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Ludogorets II - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Lovech	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.10.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- CSKA 1948 Sofia II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.11.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Bdin Vidin - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:1 ✺
27.10.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Yantra Gabrovo - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Sportist Svoge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.07.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1
30.05.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	0:3
06.11.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:0
09.03.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:1
23.08.21	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1

Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide