Match Info

Date: 26 November 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Mariupol		Lviv

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Mariupol
35.9%

Draw
28.6%

Lviv
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

27%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

21.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariupol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lviv than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Mariupol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lviv is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mariupol won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariupol won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mariupol
Ukrainian Premier League
21.11.21	Vorskla Poltava - Mariupol	5:1 ✺
06.11.21	Mynai - Mariupol	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Mariupol - Dynamo Kyiv	2:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
27.10.21	Mariupol - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
23.10.21	Veres Rivne - Mariupol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- FC Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
20.11.21	Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Lviv - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
31.10.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Lviv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.21	Alians Lypova Dolyna - Lviv	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
23.10.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Lviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWWT

Mariupol - Lviv