Match Info

TUNISIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Marsa		ES Djerba

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.1	9.25
	1.17	4.86	11.39
	1.32	4.4	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.51)	4.45 ↑ (3.39)	10.15 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
70.9%

Draw
20.2%

ES Djerba
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

24.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

ES Djerba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ES Djerba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Djerba than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ES Djerba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Marsa - ES Djerba Predictions

Users Predictions: Marsa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

ES Djerba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marsa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marsa to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue 2
07.05.23	JS Kairouan - Marsa	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Marsa - Gabès	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	AS Mohamedia - Marsa	0:3 ✺
02.04.23	Marsa - Korba	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Radès - Marsa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW
- ES Djerba
Tunisian Ligue 2
07.05.23	ES Djerba - Espoir Rogba	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	ES Djerba - Médenine	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Radès - ES Djerba	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	ES Djerba - Oued Ellil	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Bembla - ES Djerba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
24.12.22	ES Djerba - Marsa	0:1

Marsa - ES Djerba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide