Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 22

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Marsa		Stade Tunisien

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.72	2.38
	3.31	2.73	2.53
	3.26	2.66	2.47	Watch
	3.1	2.6	2.45
	3.21	2.63	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.96)	2.67 ↓ (2.99)	2.45 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
28.6%

Draw
34.2%

Stade Tunisien
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stade Tunisien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Tunisien than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Marsa - Stade Tunisien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Stade Tunisien (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Tunisien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	22. Farhati N. (G)
	. Camara B.
	19. Haboubi A.
	. Jelassi M.
	27. Khalfa H.
	8. Saafi Y.
	34. Sahraoui M. (C)
	3. Saihi A.
	14. Tapsoba S.
	21. Toure Y.
	. Werghemmi W.
Substitutes
	68. Dhaflaoui Y.
	30. Diop P.
	16. Dkhili A. (G)
	12. Godswill E.
	17. Hanchi A.
	11. Jaouadi A.
	18. Khemissi M.
	2. Riahi M.
	20. Smaali M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 🟨,
29', Traidi O. 🟥,
34', 0 - 1, Haboubi A. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 0 - 2, Saafi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 3, Ouerghemmi W. ⚽,
84', 0 - 4, Dhaflaoui Y. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2.

In recent matches, Marsa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stade Tunisien is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stade Tunisien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stade Tunisien	3	1	1	1	5:4	1	4
11	AS Marsa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
14.02.26	Soliman - Marsa	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Marsa - JS Kairouan	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Monastir - Marsa	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Marsa - Gabès	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Ben Guerdane - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL
- Stade Tunisien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
21.02.26	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Stade Tunisien - Olympique Béja	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Métlaoui - Stade Tunisien	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Stade Tunisien - Soliman	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	JS Kairouan - Stade Tunisien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.09.25	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	1:0
22.05.16	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	1:1
27.12.15	Marsa - Stade Tunisien	1:0
05.05.15	Marsa - Stade Tunisien	2:1
06.12.14	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	0:0
23.02.14	Marsa - Stade Tunisien	2:1
09.11.13	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	0:1

Marsa - Stade Tunisien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide