Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)


	Martigues		Orleans

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.08	3.1	3.45
	2.08	3.04	4.26
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.9	3.36	3.94	Watch
	2	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.7)	3.09 ↓ (3.53)	3.74 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
45.8%

Draw
29.7%

Orleans
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martigues's form might have worsened.

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martigues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orleans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	35.3%	0%

Martigues - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martigues: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Aymes J. (G) 26. Belloumou S. 5. Calvet R. 22. Djaha A. 21. Hadjem Y. 28. Kadir F. 24. Morante L. 7. Orinel O. 12. Robin M. 10. Tlili K. 8. Zouaoui Y.	1. Viot V. (G) 9. Akassou J. 11. Berthier G. 25. Bretelle L. 10. Dabasse A. 15. Goujon L. 22. Halby J. 4. Morgan J. 20. Ponti R. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 3. Solvet S.
Substitutes
19. Cervantes N. 17. Fanni D. 13. Hemia A. 29. Mendy O. 4. Soilihi A.	17. Etoughe P. 16. Matimbou O. (G) 6. Niakate A. 7. Soumare Y. 21. Theresin V.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Orleans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Orleans have a series of home games.

Martigues will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Martigues won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 3
22.01.24	Versailles - Martigues	0:1 ✺
12.01.24	Martigues - Dijon	3:1 ✺
15.12.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Martigues	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Martigues - Olympique Alès	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
04.12.23	Martigues - Niort	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
26.01.24	Orleans - Versailles	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.24	Orleans - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 3
12.01.24	Red Star - Orleans	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Orleans - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
15.12.23	Orleans - Épinal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
25.08.23	Orleans - Martigues	0:1
17.04.23	Orleans - Martigues	1:4
25.11.22	Martigues - Orleans	2:2

Martigues - Orleans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide