The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Martina Calcio 64.7%
Draw 21.7%
Francavilla 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
24.5%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
23.4%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Martina Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martina Calcio's performance.
Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martina Calcio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Martina Calcio - Francavilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th and 16th in the Serie D - Group H (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Martina won 3.
In recent outings, Martina has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Francavilla is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Martina holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Martina has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:7 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Martina against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 2.3:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Martina Calcio
6
4
0
2
12:7
5
12
17
Francavilla
6
1
0
5
3:7
-4
3
Last Results with these Odds
Martina Calcio - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.86%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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