The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Martín Ledesma 33.4%
Draw 32.9%
12 de Junio 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
30.1%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
31.3%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Martín Ledesma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martín Ledesma's form might have worsened.
12 de Junio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 12 de Junio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martín Ledesma than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martín Ledesma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 12 de Junio than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 12 de Junio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Martín Ledesma - 12 de Junio Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Martín Ledesma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). 12 de Junio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7).
Recent matches Martín Ledesma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
12 de Junio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Martín Ledesma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Martín Ledesma will have a small advantage in this match.