Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Masafi		Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.96	3.25	3.63
	1.96	3.25	3.63
	1.91	3.3	3.3
	1.92	3.45	3.5
	1.99	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.35)	3.35 ↓ (3.53)	3.45 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masafi
46.7%

Draw
27%

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.6%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

24.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masafi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Masafi's performance.

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Masafi than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Masafi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Masafi - Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Alfalasi R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Abdulla R. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Ernest J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Masafi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al-Arabi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Masafi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Masafi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Masafi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masafi Club
UAE Division 1
17.03.24	Al Hamriyah - Masafi	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Masafi - Al Jazira Hamra	4:1 ✺
23.02.24	Al Dhafra - Masafi	1:2 ✺
15.02.24	Gulf United - Masafi	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Masafi - Al Urooba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWWT
- Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
UAE Division 1
17.03.24	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Dibba Al-Hisn	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Al Hamriyah - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	3:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
16.02.24	Al-Jazira - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	1:0 ✺
UAE Division 1
11.02.24	Al Dhafra - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Gulf Heroes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
06.11.23	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Masafi	0:0
24.02.23	Masafi - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	2:1
16.10.22	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Masafi	1:2
05.02.22	Masafi - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	1:3
23.10.21	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Masafi	2:1

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