Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Guzor (Guzar)

Referee: Shukrullayev A. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	MTRK Sport


	Mashal Mubarek		Xorazm Urganch

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.98	2.35
	3.97	3.15	2.09
	3.28	3.08	2.19	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.4
	3.04	2.96	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.44)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	2.3 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mashal Mubarek
28.8%

Draw
31%

Xorazm Urganch
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

30.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

29.6%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tukhtaboev D. (G) 45. Parmonkulov S. 37. Fayziev S. 15. Alikulov M. 34. Juraev S. 2. Akramov Z. 13. Nuriddinov N. 14. Abubakar R. 22. Muzaffarov N. 97. Chidi A. 9. Ganikhonov I.	1. Mukhammadjonov M. (G) 15. Pirmukhamedov A. 6. Otakhonov A. 25. Rom M. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 94. Abdukhamidov R. 8. Abdikholikov N. 2. Ortikboev D. 97. Traore B. 13. Lohan 10. Lhery Y.
Substitutes
8. Abduraymov S. 99. Ayagwa R. 28. Ismoilov E. 69. Khadzhiev R. 5. Ochilov S. 1. Soyibov A. (G) 7. Stojanovski V. 3. Vaniev A. 38. Yarashev S.	79. Akhrorov A. 9. Azimov J. 20. Ezhov D. 80. Ibrokhimov F. 7. Ismoilov T. 88. Khusinov A. 17. Nugumanov D. 33. Stosic N. (G) . Sultanmuradov S.
Coaches
Surov I.	Tokov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ganikhonov I. ↓, Stojanovski V. ↑,
69', Lhery Y. ↓, Akhrorov A. ↑,
69', Abdikholikov N. ↓, Nugumanov D. ↑,
77', Nuriddinov N. ↓, Ochilov S. ↑,
78', Juraev S. 🟨,
80', Traore B. 🟨,
82', Abubakar R. ↓, Abduraymov S. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Stojanovski V. (Own goal),
87', Lohan ↓, Azimov J. ↑,
87', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Ezhov D. ↑,
90', Traore B. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 9).

Mashal has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Xorazm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Xorazm will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mashal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Xorazm Urganch	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22
16	Mashal Muborak	22	1	1	20	11:44	-33	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League
13.04.26	Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Bunyodkor	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Navbahor Namangan - Mashal Mubarek	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Andijan - Mashal Mubarek	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Mashal Mubarek - Qizilqum	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
14.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Kokand 1912	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Xorazm Urganch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Dinamo Samarqand	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Xorazm Urganch - Bunyodkor	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Buxoro - Xorazm Urganch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
17.10.25	Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch	0:3
18.05.25	Xorazm Urganch - Mashal Mubarek	3:0
Uzbek Pro Liga
21.11.24	Xorazm Urganch - Mashal Mubarek	0:0
18.09.24	Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch	2:1

Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide