Match Info

BOTSWANA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Masitoaka		Gaborone United

	1	X	2
	4.26	3.24	1.76
	4.27	3.24	1.77
	4.85	3.22	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.68)	3.23 ↑ (2.96)	1.75 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masitoaka
20.3%

Draw
28%

Gaborone United
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

30.3%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masitoaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gaborone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gaborone United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Masitoaka than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaborone United than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gaborone United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Gaborone United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaborone United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Masitoaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Masitoaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masitoaka FC
Botswana Premier League
09.12.23	Sua Flamingoes - Masitoaka	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Masitoaka - Holy Ghost	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	BDF XI - Masitoaka	1:1 ✺
31.10.23	Masitoaka - TAFIC	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Nico United - Masitoaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTWT
- Gaborone United
Botswana Premier League
13.12.23	Township Rollers - Gaborone United	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Police XI - Gaborone United	0:4 ✺
25.11.23	Gaborone United - Eleven Angels	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Gaborone United - Matebele	5:0 ✺
01.11.23	Gaborone United - Sua Flamingoes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Botswana Premier League
15.04.23	Gaborone United - Masitoaka	2:0
21.12.22	Masitoaka - Gaborone United	0:2
03.05.22	Masitoaka - Gaborone United	0:1
20.11.21	Gaborone United - Masitoaka	1:0

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