Match Info

3. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor		Erciyes 38

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.98	2.88
	2.51	2.93	2.89
	2.53	2.87	2.91	Watch
	2.5	2.5	2.9
	2.44	3.09	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.53)	2.87 (2.87)	2.89 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor
36.6%

Draw
31.8%

Erciyes 38
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

32%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Erciyes 38 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erciyes 38 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Erciyes 38 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Yasak C. ⚽, Yigit S. (A),
78', 1 - 1, Elkatmis M. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Mazıdağı is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Erciyes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mazıdağı won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mazıdağı won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
12.04.26	Niğde Belediyespor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Kahramanmaraşspor	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Erciyes 38	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Kilis Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWT
- Erciyes 38 FSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
12.04.26	Kahramanmaraşspor - Erciyes 38	1:4 ✺
05.04.26	Erciyes 38 - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Erciyes 38 - Kilis Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Erciyes 38	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Erciyes 38 - Kırşehir	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
25.03.26	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Erciyes 38	2:0
30.11.25	Erciyes 38 - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	1:1

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