Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Mazatlan		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.15
	3.1	3.7	1.92
	3.33	4.15	1.91
	3.11	4.11	1.98	Watch
	3.1	3.7	1.85
	3.24	3.6	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.8)	3.81 ↑ (3.73)	1.96 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan
29.6%

Draw
23.9%

Atlético San Luis
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24.1%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mazatlan: 71.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mazatlan (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Mazatlan (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mazatlan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Solera D. (G) 18. De Leon K. 7. Garcia D. (C) 23. Gonzalez A. 21. Herrera C. 9. Lawal T. 11. Lopez A. 12. Lopez G. 20. Ramos P. 16. Sanchez V. 14. Zavaleta R.	23. Bustos D. (G) 28. Arevalo S. 21. Bello A. 19. Caicedo F. (C) 17. Contreras R. 2. Gonzalez Diaz A. 10. Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. 27. Hernandez-Represa E. 12. Herrera A. 7. Lopez V. 8. Sanchez M.
Substitutes
44. Barron B. 17. Cruz Hernandez A. Y. 8. Eleanor Ortiz L. 30. Espinosa L. 1. Garcia Palacios A. H. (G) 3. Maria Aleman Mayoral B. 6. Ramos J. 43. Sanchez M. 19. Selvas P. 4. Velazquez R.	31. Caldera A. 24. Galicia K. 20. Garcia Munoz K. V. 22. Gutierrez M. 15. Hernandez I. 9. Higuera E. 26. Lopez A. 30. Singarella C. 13. Suarez A. 1. Zarate A. (G)
Coaches
Morales N.	Quintana I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Contreras R. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Herrera A. ↓, Higuera E. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Higuera E. ⚽,
60', Bello A. 🟨,
65', Zavaleta R. ↓, Eleanor Ortiz L. ↑,
74', Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
77', Higuera E. 🟨,
79', Gonzalez A. 🟥,
85', Eleanor Ortiz L. 🟨,
85', Caicedo F. 🟨,
90+2', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90+3', Bello A. ↓, Galicia K. ↑,
90+4', Arevalo S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.

Mazatlan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético San Luis is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mazatlan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético San Luis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
02.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
27.03.26	Mazatlan - Toluca	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	Club León - Mazatlan	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Mazatlan - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LLLWL
- Atlético San Luis Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
01.04.26	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético San Luis - Tigres UANL	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Necaxa - Atlético San Luis	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético San Luis - Puebla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
21.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	1:1
14.03.25	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	0:0
07.07.24	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	1:0
01.02.24	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	3:1
13.08.23	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	4:1
10.02.23	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	4:1
02.10.22	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	1:3

Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide