Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Mazatlan U20		Atlas U20

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.48	3.1	2.45
	2.46	3.1	2.5
	2.56	3.57	2.54
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.42	3.36	2.57
	2.5	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.79)	3.2 ↓ (3.89)	2.53 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan U20
36.4%

Draw
28%

Atlas U20
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

23.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

23.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan U20's form might have worsened.

Atlas U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlas U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan U20 than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas U20 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlas U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	29.4%	47.1%

Mazatlan U20 - Atlas U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mazatlan U20 will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Atlas U20 will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlas U20: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U20 (Apertura ~ Play Offs)).

Mazatlan U20 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlas U20 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mazatlan U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mazatlan U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
16.09.22	Mazatlan U20 - Toluca U20	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Cruz Azul U20 - Mazatlan U20	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Monterrey U20 - Mazatlan U20	3:2 ✺
26.08.22	Mazatlan U20 - Club América U20	4:4 ✺
19.08.22	Juárez U20 - Mazatlan U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTL
- Atlas U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
17.09.22	Monterrey U20 - Atlas U20	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Atlas U20 - Atlético San Luis U20	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Atlas U20 - UNAM Pumas U20	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Club León U20 - Atlas U20	0:1 ✺
25.08.22	Pachuca U20 - Atlas U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U20
14.04.22	Atlas U20 - Mazatlan U20	3:1
15.10.21	Mazatlan U20 - Atlas U20	3:1

Mazatlan U20 - Atlas U20