Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Mačva Šabac		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.2
	2.95	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.14
	3	2.95	2.34
	2.99	3.19	2.44
	3.1	2.8	2.38
	3.08	2.91	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.54)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	2.31 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mačva Šabac
30.5%

Draw
29.8%

Napredak Kruševac
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

19.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mačva Šabac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mačva Šabac's form might have worsened.

Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mačva Šabac than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mačva Šabac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napredak Kruševac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mačva Šabac - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 18 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga).

Mačva has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Napredak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mačva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mačva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mačva Šabac
Serbian Cup
21.10.20	Mačva Šabac - Metalac	1:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
17.10.20	Mladost Lučani - Mačva Šabac	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Mačva Šabac - Voždovac	0:2 ✺
26.09.20	Čukarički - Mačva Šabac	4:0 ✺
21.09.20	Mačva Šabac - Bačka Topola	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Cup
20.10.20	Napredak Kruševac - Žarkovo	2:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
17.10.20	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
27.09.20	Napredak Kruševac - Metalac	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
08.12.19	Napredak Kruševac - Mačva Šabac	2:1
18.08.19	Mačva Šabac - Napredak Kruševac	0:1
24.11.18	Napredak Kruševac - Mačva Šabac	2:0
28.07.18	Mačva Šabac - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
07.03.18	Mačva Šabac - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
24.09.17	Napredak Kruševac - Mačva Šabac	3:1

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