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Current Win Probability
Mačva Šabac 57%
Draw 25.9%
Napredak Kruševac 17.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.3%
19%
11.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
17.1%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mačva Šabac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mačva Šabac's form might have worsened.
Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Napredak Kruševac's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mačva Šabac than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mačva Šabac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Mačva Šabac - Napredak Kruševac Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ristivojevic I. ⚽,
27', Milic A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Pejovic L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mačva won 0.
Mačva is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Napredak shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mačva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Mačva as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Mačva has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:12 (averaging 0.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mačva against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
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