Match Info

Date: 30 August 2020, Sunday


	Mačva Šabac		Spartak Subotica

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.65
	4.6	3.5	1.67
	3.95	3.5	1.65
	4.2	3.55	1.72
	4.39	3.76	1.76
	4.4	3.5	1.7
	4.4	3.6	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.95)	3.54 ↑ (3.29)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mačva Šabac
20.7%

Draw
25.7%

Spartak Subotica
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.4%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

22.4%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mačva Šabac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Spartak Subotica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mačva Šabac than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Subotica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mačva Šabac - Spartak Subotica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Mačva is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spartak Subotica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mačva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spartak Subotica is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mačva won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Mačva won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mačva Šabac
Serbian Superliga
23.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Novi Pazar	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Radnički Niš - Mačva Šabac	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
05.08.20	Metalac - Mačva Šabac	2:1 ✺
01.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Bačka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW
- Spartak Subotica
Serbian Superliga
22.08.20	Spartak Subotica - Radnički Niš	2:0 ✺
14.08.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Spartak Subotica	3:2 ✺
09.08.20	Spartak Subotica - Metalac	4:1 ✺
05.08.20	Bačka - Spartak Subotica	1:3 ✺
31.07.20	Spartak Subotica - Zlatibor Čajetina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
13.06.20	Mačva Šabac - Spartak Subotica	1:4
30.10.19	Spartak Subotica - Mačva Šabac	3:1
01.05.19	Mačva Šabac - Spartak Subotica	2:1
10.11.18	Mačva Šabac - Spartak Subotica	0:0
Serbian Cup
24.10.18	Spartak Subotica - Mačva Šabac	1:0
Serbian Superliga
23.07.18	Spartak Subotica - Mačva Šabac	1:0
03.12.17	Mačva Šabac - Spartak Subotica	1:0

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