Match Info

SERBIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday

Location: Gradski stadion Sabac (Sabac)


	Mačva Šabac		Železničar Pančevo

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.85	2.15
	3.28	2.71	2.25
	3.6	2.75	2.05
	3.18	3.16	2.2
	3.45	2.85	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.85)	2.86 ↓ (2.97)	2.16 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mačva Šabac
26.9%

Draw
31.5%

Železničar Pančevo
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

30.6%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

29.5%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mačva Šabac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Železničar Pančevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mačva Šabac than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Železničar Pančevo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Železničar Pančevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	30.8%	53.8%

Mačva Šabac - Železničar Pančevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mačva will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Železničar P will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Železničar P: 26.7% – 80.9%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mačva Šabac
Serbian Prva Liga
22.03.23	IMT Novi Beograd - Mačva Šabac	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Mačva Šabac - Rad	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Loznica - Mačva Šabac	0:0 ✺
06.03.23	Vršac - Mačva Šabac	3:0 ✺
01.03.23	Mačva Šabac - Radnički Sremska Mitrovica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WTTLT
- Železničar Pančevo
Serbian Prva Liga
23.03.23	Železničar Pančevo - Radnički Sremska Mitrovica	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Metalac - Železničar Pančevo	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Železničar Pančevo - Inđija	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Radnički Beograd - Železničar Pančevo	1:2 ✺
01.03.23	Železničar Pančevo - Sloboda Užice	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.22	Železničar Pančevo - Mačva Šabac	3:1
10.11.21	Mačva Šabac - Železničar Pančevo	0:1
14.08.21	Železničar Pančevo - Mačva Šabac	1:1

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