Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA RHEINLAND-PFALZ/SAAR - ROUND 12

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Mechtersheim		Arminia Ludwigshafen

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.4	Watch
	1.88	4.12	3.29
	1.82	4	3.48
	1.8	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.63)	4.03 ↑ (3.4)	3.39 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechtersheim
50.2%

Draw
22.7%

Arminia Ludwigshafen
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

25.5%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mechtersheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mechtersheim's performance.

Arminia Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arminia Ludwigshafen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechtersheim than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mechtersheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arminia Ludwigshafen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Mechtersheim - Arminia Ludwigshafen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mechtersheim will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Arminia Ludwigshafen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechtersheim won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Mechtersheim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mechtersheim won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mechtersheim won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Mechtersheim
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
16.09.23	Diefflen - Mechtersheim	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Mechtersheim - Auersmacher	0:0 ✺
06.09.23	Pirmasens - Mechtersheim	3:1 ✺
31.08.23	Mechtersheim - Dudenhofen	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Karbach - Mechtersheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL
- Arminia Ludwigshafen
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
16.09.23	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Morlautern	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Baumholder - Arminia Ludwigshafen	3:3 ✺
06.09.23	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Pfeddersheim	6:3 ✺
03.09.23	Bitburg - Arminia Ludwigshafen	5:3 ✺
26.08.23	Gonsenheim - Arminia Ludwigshafen	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
25.11.22	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Mechtersheim	0:3
12.09.22	Mechtersheim - Arminia Ludwigshafen	4:0
23.11.21	Mechtersheim - Arminia Ludwigshafen	3:0
22.09.21	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Mechtersheim	1:1
26.10.20	Mechtersheim - Arminia Ludwigshafen	0:0
30.08.19	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Mechtersheim	2:0
24.11.18	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Mechtersheim	2:2

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