Match Info
Derde Divisie - Round 26Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Meerssen |
|
ASWH |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.9 |
4.01 |
3.02 |
|
 |
1.93 |
4.07 |
3.05 |
Watch |
 |
2 |
3.6 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.08 |
4.06 |
2.92 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.34) |
3.94 ↑ (3.77) |
2.97 ↑ (2.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Meerssen 46.1% | Draw 23.2% | ASWH 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meerssen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meerssen's performance.ASWH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASWH might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meerssen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meerssen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASWH than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASWH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Meerssen - ASWH Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).In recent matches, Meerssen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).ASWH is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).ASWH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Meerssen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Meerssen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;