Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 6

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Melbourne Srbija		Northcote City

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.15	1.7
	3.35	4.98	1.68
	3.51	5.15	1.65	Watch
	3.3	4.2	1.7
	3.45	4.65	1.68
	4	4.33	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.23)	4.58 ↑ (4.5)	1.67 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Srbija
25.8%

Draw
19.8%

Northcote City
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

20.4%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

19.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Srbija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Northcote City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

Melbourne Srbija has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Northcote City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Melbourne Srbija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne Srbija has had a series of away games.

Northcote City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Srbija won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Melbourne Srbija won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
13.03.26	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Srbija	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Melbourne Srbija - North Sunshine Eagles	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Srbija	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Langwarrin - Melbourne Srbija	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Western United U21 - Melbourne Srbija	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
13.03.26	Northcote City - North Sunshine Eagles	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Northcote City - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Langwarrin - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Northcote City - Western United U21	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Brunswick City - Northcote City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
13.06.25	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	0:1
08.03.25	Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City	2:2

Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide