Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Melfi		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.40	1.77
	4	3.35	1.75
	4.03	3.5	1.79	Watch
	4.01	3.87	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.66)	3.53 ↑ (3.47)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melfi
23.1%

Draw
25.9%

Nocerina
51%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.7%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melfi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Melfi - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Cardella F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the Serie D - Group H (Play Out: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group H Playoffs).

Nocerina is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Nocerina is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nocerina	9	4	1	4	13:13	0	13
15	Melfi	9	2	2	5	5:11	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Melfi
Italian Serie D - Group H
27.09.26	Ebolitana - Melfi	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Melfi - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Nardo - Melfi	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Real Normanna - Melfi	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.05.17	Akragas - Melfi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLT
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
27.09.26	Nocerina - Palmese 1914	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bisceglie - Nocerina	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Nocerina - Ischia Isolaverde	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Manfredonia - Nocerina	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.26	Nocerina - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTW

Melfi - Nocerina