Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	CMM TV


	Melilla		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.9
	2.4	2.8	2.85
	2.55	2.9	2.9
	2.67	2.78	3.08
	2.54	2.88	2.96
	2.37	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.21)	2.84 ↓ (3)	2.95 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
36.7%

Draw
32.2%

Cacereño
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

30.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

31.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Melilla - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1.

Recent matches Melilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cacereño is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cacereño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Melilla have a series of guest games.

Melilla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.09.24	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Melilla - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Tenerife B - Melilla	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.24	Elche Ilicitano - Melilla	0:3 ✺
20.08.24	Minera - Melilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.09.24	Cacereño - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Colonia Moscardó - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Cacereño - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Cacereño - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
14.08.24	Badajoz - Cacereño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.02.23	Cacereño - Melilla	0:0
18.09.22	Melilla - Cacereño	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.15	Cacereño - Melilla	3:0
14.12.14	Melilla - Cacereño	1:1
23.02.14	Cacereño - Melilla	1:0
13.10.13	Melilla - Cacereño	0:1

Melilla - Cacereño