Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Melilla CD		Vélez

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.57
	4.6	3.95	1.48
	4.7	3.8	1.57
	5.03	4.15	1.61
	4.85	3.85	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (3.36)	3.9 ↑ (3.4)	1.57 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla CD
19.2%

Draw
23.2%

Vélez
57.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.5%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

20.7%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melilla CD's form might have worsened.

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla CD than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 9 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 9 (Promotion Group)).

Melilla CD has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vélez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melilla CD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla CD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melilla CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
13.12.20	Malaga B - Melilla CD	5:0 ✺
08.12.20	Melilla CD - Estepona	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Melilla CD - Antequera	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Juventud de Torremolinos - Melilla CD	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Melilla CD - Alhaurín de la Torre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLL
- Vélez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.12.20	Estepona - Vélez	0:1 ✺
12.12.20	Vélez - El Palo	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Vélez - Alhaurino	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Malaga B - Vélez	4:0 ✺
01.11.20	Vélez - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
28.02.20	Melilla CD - Vélez	0:0
13.10.19	Vélez - Melilla CD	4:1

Melilla CD - Vélez

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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