Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - ROUND 8

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Melville United		Napier City Rovers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	4.1	3.4
	1.74	3.75	3.25
	1.78	4.1	3.3
	1.8	4.36	3.66
	1.71	4.3	3.64
	1.81	4.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	4.15 ↑ (4)	3.44 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melville United
51.7%

Draw
21.9%

Napier City Rovers
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

22.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melville United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melville United's performance.

Napier City Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napier City Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melville United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melville United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napier City Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napier City Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Melville United - Napier City Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Melville will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Napier City will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melville: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 8).

Melville is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Napier City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melville will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melville United
New Zealand National League
11.11.22	Miramar Rangers - Melville United	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Melville United - Birkenhead United	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Christchurch United - Melville United	2:5 ✺
21.10.22	Melville United - Cashmere Technical	1:3 ✺
15.10.22	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Melville United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLT
- Napier City Rovers
New Zealand National League
12.11.22	Napier City Rovers - Birkenhead United	1:1 ✺
04.11.22	Cashmere Technical - Napier City Rovers	4:2 ✺
28.10.22	Napier City Rovers - Wellington Olympic	2:5 ✺
22.10.22	Auckland City - Napier City Rovers	3:0 ✺
14.10.22	Napier City Rovers - Miramar Rangers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Melville United - Napier City Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide