Match Info

1.Liga Classic Group 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Mendrisio-Stabio		Widnau

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.86	3.89
	1.74	3.87	3.91	Watch
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.81	3.77	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	3.92 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mendrisio-Stabio
52.2%

Draw
24.4%

Widnau
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mendrisio-Stabio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Widnau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mendrisio-Stabio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widnau than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Mendrisio Stabio - Widnau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (4 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Mendrisio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Widnau is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Widnau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mendrisio is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Mendrisio	11	1	6	4	11:15	-4	9
16	FC Widnau	11	1	3	7	8:27	-19	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mendrisio-Stabio
Swiss 1 Liga Classic Group 3
11.04.26	Collina dOro - Mendrisio-Stabio	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mendrisio-Stabio - Freienbach	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Wettswil-Bonstetten - Mendrisio-Stabio	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Mendrisio-Stabio - SV Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Baden - Mendrisio-Stabio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLTT
- FC Widnau
Swiss 1 Liga Classic Group 3
12.04.26	Widnau - Young Fellows Juventus	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Höngg - Widnau	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Widnau - Dietikon	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Widnau - Collina dOro	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Freienbach - Widnau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTL

Mendrisio-Stabio - Widnau