Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Menemen İlçe Stadyumu (Izmir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Menemenspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.1	1.67
	4	3.8	1.66
	4.1	4	1.64
	3.99	4.23	1.7
	4.01	4.16	1.67	Watch
	4.33	3.8	1.62
	4.4	4	1.7	Watch
	4.1	4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.52)	4.01 ↑ (3.54)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Menemenspor
22.3%

Draw
22.8%

Ankaragücü
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

25.7%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.7%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankaragücü's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Menemenspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Menemen will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goymen B. (G) 58. Arslan F. 4. Fansa E. 35. Demir M. 2. Terzi E. 8. Keskin E. 19. Ozturk E. 25. Kerem Y. 94. Korkmaz K. 17. Kulet I. 99. Kurt O.	99. Gungordu B. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 5. Coelho D. 30. Kesik M. 16. Cokcalis I. 4. Cetin M. 23. Guneren A. K. 7. Kitsiou S. 40. Gultekin Y. 10. Bekiroglu E. 9. Bajic R.
Substitutes
30. Akay E. (G) 37. Arkutcu E. 10. Can Koc S. 6. Govercin E. 77. Poyraz E. 21. Sahbas O. 67. Sari M. E. (G) 14. Turker H. 53. Yildiz H. S. 83. Yildiz Y.	19. Astanakulov S. 88. Celik O. 29. Cephas R. 91. CIhan G. (G) 17. Dadashov R. 28. Demir F. (G) 35. Nazarli H. 22. Rotariu D. 18. Uludag A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Guneren A. K. ⚽, Bilazer H. (A),
38', Kitsiou S. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Demir M. (Pen),
42', 1 - 2, Bekiroglu E. ⚽,
45+3', Kerem Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Korkmaz K. ↓, Turker H. ↑,
46', Terzi E. ↓, Poyraz E. ↑,
59', Kurt O. 🟨,
63', Kurt O. ↓, Can Koc S. ↑,
63', Ozturk E. ↓, Arkutcu E. ↑,
69', Turker H. 🟨,
72', Bajic R. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
72', Gultekin Y. ↓, Celik O. ↑,
72', Cokcalis I. ↓, Uludag A. ↑,
88', Turker H. ↓, Govercin E. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Cephas R. ⚽, Celik O. (A),
90', Cephas R. 🟨,
90+1', Demir M. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Arkutcu E. ⚽,
90+2', Kitsiou S. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
90+4', Kesik M. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Ankaragücü is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Menemen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Menemen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.12.24	Menemenspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Menemenspor - Elazığspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Menemenspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Menemenspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWLL
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
13.12.24	Ankaragücü - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Boluspor - Ankaragücü	2:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Karşıyaka - Ankaragücü	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Ankaragücü - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Gençlerbirliği - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
16.02.22	Menemenspor - Ankaragücü	1:1
20.09.21	Ankaragücü - Menemenspor	2:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.03.17	Ankaragücü - Menemenspor	1:1
13.11.16	Menemenspor - Ankaragücü	4:3

Menemenspor - Ankaragücü: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide