Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Mensajero		Herbania

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.34	5.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	5.89 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mensajero
57.3%

Draw
27.3%

Herbania
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

25.5%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

25.7%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Herbania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Mensajero - Herbania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Nieto V. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Celihueta I. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Barroso Santana M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 4 - 0, ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Herbania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensajero is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
18.10.25	Las Palmas C - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Mensajero - Panadería Pulido	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mensajero - Marino	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lanzarote - Mensajero	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Tenerife C - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLL
- CD Herbania
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
18.10.25	Herbania - Tenerife C	3:4 ✺
11.10.25	San Bartolomé - Herbania	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Herbania - UD San Fernando	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Arucas - Herbania	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Herbania - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWLW

Mensajero - Herbania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide