Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mensajero		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.85	3.25	4.33
	1.85	3.18	4.48
	1.73	3.24	4.65
	1.82	3.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.28)	3.15 ↑ (2.94)	4.44 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
50.5%

Draw
29%

Montijo
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

31.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mensajero's performance.

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montijo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mensajero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montijo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mensajero - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mensajero is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montijo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mensajero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mensajero is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Mensajero - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Talavera de la Reina - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Mensajero - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	UD San Fernando - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLTT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.09.23	Montijo - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Villanovense - Montijo	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Montijo - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Numancia - Montijo	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Montijo - Illescas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.02.22	Montijo - Mensajero	2:2
08.12.21	Mensajero - Montijo	1:0

Mensajero - Montijo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Mensajero - Montijo Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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