Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 11

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Merani Tbilisi		Gonio

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.97	3.87	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.71	3.93	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)	3.9 (3.9)	4 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merani Tbilisi
53.9%

Draw
23.3%

Gonio
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

23.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

22.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merani Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Gonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonio than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Merani Tbilisi - Gonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Merani Tbilisi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gonio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Ingorokva L. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Tolordava S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Merani Tbilisi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gonio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Merani Tbilisi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Merani Tbilisi	22	11	6	5	37:27	10	39
6	Gonio	23	11	5	7	32:24	8	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
07.05.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Merani Tbilisi - Iberia 2010	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Merani Tbilisi - Margveti Zestafoni	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Gardabani - Merani Tbilisi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- FC Gonio
Georgian Liga 3
07.05.26	Gonio - Didube	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Orbi - Gonio	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Tbilisi 2025 - Gonio	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Gonio - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Gonio - Guria Lanchkhuti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWL

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