Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 6

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Mes Kerman		Damash Gilan

	1	X	2
	2.31	2.38	4.28	Watch
	2.22	2.63	4.02	Watch
	2.57	2.37	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.55)	2.46 ↑ (2.35)	3.88 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Kerman
38.9%

Draw
37.4%

Damash Gilan
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

38.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

36.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Damash Gilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damash Gilan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mes Kerman will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mes Kerman (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Pour Ghanbari O. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, Tahmasbzadeh M. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Manochehri R. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Kerman won 2.

In recent matches, Mes Kerman has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Damash Gilan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mes Kerman won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Kerman won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Damash Gilan - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
23.09.25	Mes Sungun - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Mes Kerman - Besat Kermanshah	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Mes Kerman - Niroye Zamini	0:1 ✺
28.08.25	SaiPa - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLT
- Damash Gilan
Iran Division 1
24.09.25	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Navad Urmia - Damash Gilan	1:1 ✺
10.09.25	Damash Gilan - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
03.09.25	Palayesh Naft - Damash Gilan	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Damash Gilan - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
29.04.25	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	0:0
16.12.24	Damash Gilan - Mes Kerman	0:0
02.02.24	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	0:0
02.09.23	Damash Gilan - Mes Kerman	1:2
02.02.20	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	Mes Kerman awarded
15.09.19	Damash Gilan - Mes Kerman	0:0
20.01.16	Damash Gilan - Mes Kerman	0:2

Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide