Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 5

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Mes Kerman		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.65	2.75
	2.71	2.76	2.81	Watch
	2.62	2.65	2.75	Watch
	2.60	2.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.14)	2.68 ↓ (2.69)	2.77 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Kerman
34.1%

Draw
33.5%

Mes Rafsanjan
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

32.9%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mes Kerman's performance.

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mes Rafsanjan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, Tahmasbzadeh M. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Kerman won 0.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Mes Kerman has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 0.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mes Kerman against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.6:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Mes Rafsanjan	5	3	2	0	3:0	3	11
14	Mes Kerman	5	0	3	2	2:4	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Mes Kerman - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 28.21%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
05.10.26	Niroye Zamini - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
28.09.26	Kara Gostar Shabestar - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
22.09.26	Mes Kerman - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Fard Alborz - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
16.07.26	Mes Kerman - Navad Urmia	Mes Kerman Awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLT?
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Division 1
05.10.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
29.09.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Besat Kermanshah	1:0 ✺
22.09.26	Kara Gostar Shabestar - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Havadar	0:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
22.07.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	0:3 AWA. ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
24.04.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman	1:0
19.12.22	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	0:2
Iran Division 1
30.06.20	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
30.10.19	Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman	1:1
Club Friendly
09.08.19	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
Iran Division 1
16.03.19	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	1:2
06.11.18	Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman	0:1

Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide