Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh) 🌤️ ...


	Mes Rafsanjan		Ario Eslamshahr

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.37	2.65
	3.36	2.24	2.91	Watch
	3.20	2.41	2.63	Watch
	3.10	2.38	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.8)	2.35 ↓ (2.85)	2.71 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
28.5%

Draw
38.3%

Ario Eslamshahr
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ario Eslamshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mes Rafsanjan - Ario Eslamshahr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Heydarieh V. ⚽,

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Mes Rafsanjan	7	4	3	0	7:1	6	15
4	Ario Eslamshahr	7	4	0	3	9:6	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Mes Rafsanjan - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ario Eslamshahr - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Division 1
29.09.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Besat Kermanshah	1:0 ✺
22.09.26	Kara Gostar Shabestar - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Havadar	0:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
22.07.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	0:3 AWA. ✺
22.02.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLL
- Ario Eslamshahr
Iran Division 1
28.09.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Havadar	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Ario Eslamshahr	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Nassaji Mazandaran - Ario Eslamshahr	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:1 ✺
03.07.26	Damash Gilan - Ario Eslamshahr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWWTT

Mes Rafsanjan - Ario Eslamshahr