Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Mes Sungun		Sanat Naft

	1	X	2
	3.36	2.86	2.24	Watch
	3.31	2.82	2.26
	3.29	2.82	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.83 ↓ (2.86)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Sungun
27.5%

Draw
32.2%

Sanat Naft
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

32%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30.1%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Sungun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sanat Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Sungun than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (+3%)

Mes Sungun - Sanat Naft Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanat Naft (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Nazari A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Mes Sungun is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sanat Naft has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sanat Naft is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sanat Naft will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mes Sungun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mes Sungun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Mes Sungun - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.21%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Sungun FSC
Iran Division 1
12.10.25	Palayesh Naft - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
06.10.25	Mes Sungun - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
30.09.25	Navad Urmia - Mes Sungun	3:0 ✺
23.09.25	Mes Sungun - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Fard Alborz - Mes Sungun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sanat Naft
Iran Division 1
13.10.25	Sanat Naft - Havadar	3:1 ✺
07.10.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
30.09.25	Sanat Naft - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:1 ✺
18.09.25	Sanat Naft - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
10.09.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
05.03.25	Mes Sungun - Sanat Naft	1:0
16.10.24	Sanat Naft - Mes Sungun	2:2

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